thermograph/tests/data/test_climate.py
Emi Griffith 4ff12905a1 Self-host the ERA5 archive via Open-Meteo (object storage) (#224)
Get the 45-year historical record off the rate-limited public Open-Meteo
archive API by running a private Open-Meteo instance that serves the
era5_seamless blend (0.1° ERA5-Land + 0.25° ERA5 for gusts) from the
compressed .om archive in object storage, mounted on the host with rclone.

- climate.py: make ARCHIVE_URL env-driven (THERMOGRAPH_ARCHIVE_URL) and pin
  models=era5_seamless on the archive fetches only, so a self-hosted instance
  serves the same 0.1° resolution; forecast path unchanged. The public API's
  default is already seamless, so dev/beta (URL unset) behave identically.
- docker-compose.openmeteo.yml: open-meteo-api + two rolling sync workers
  (era5_land 0.1°, era5 0.25° for gusts), bind-mounting the object-storage
  mount; the overlay points the app at the local instance.
- Makefile: om-up / om-down / om-backfill (one-time full-history backfill).
- Terraform: per-host openmeteo flag layers the overlay, renders OM_DATA_DIR,
  and provisions the host rclone systemd mount from the bucket credentials.
- deploy/openmeteo: operator runbook + rclone mount unit template.
2026-07-20 13:16:56 +00:00

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11 KiB
Python

"""The source→frame mappings and cache-write path (pure parts of climate.py —
no network)."""
import datetime
import polars as pl
import pytest
from data import climate
def _om_daily(n=3):
"""A minimal Open-Meteo daily response."""
return {
"time": [f"2026-06-{d:02d}" for d in range(1, n + 1)],
"temperature_2m_max": [80.0, 90.0, None],
"temperature_2m_min": [60.0, 70.0, 55.0],
"precipitation_sum": [0.0, 0.25, 0.1],
"wind_speed_10m_max": [10.0, 20.0, 5.0],
"wind_gusts_10m_max": [15.0, 30.0, 8.0],
"apparent_temperature_max": [82.0, 95.0, 70.0],
"apparent_temperature_min": [58.0, 68.0, 50.0],
"relative_humidity_2m_mean": [50.0, 60.0, 70.0],
}
def test_to_frame_schema_and_day_filter():
df = climate._to_frame(_om_daily())
# The None tmax day is dropped: a usable climate day needs a real high/low.
assert len(df) == 2
assert df["doy"].dtype == pl.Int16
assert set(df.columns) == {"date", "tmax", "tmin", "precip", "wind", "gust",
"humid", "fmax", "fmin", "feels", "doy"}
def test_to_frame_tolerates_missing_series():
daily = _om_daily()
del daily["wind_gusts_10m_max"], daily["relative_humidity_2m_mean"]
df = climate._to_frame(daily)
assert df["gust"].is_null().all() and df["humid"].is_null().all()
assert df["tmax"].is_not_null().all() # required series unaffected
def test_combined_feels_picks_the_extreme_side():
df = climate._to_frame(_om_daily())
# Day 2: fmax 95 is 30 past the 65°F comfort point vs fmin 68 only 3 below —
# the hot side wins; both days here are hot-side days.
assert df.filter(pl.col("date") == datetime.date(2026, 6, 2))["feels"].item() == 95.0
def test_combined_feels_falls_back_to_the_present_side():
"""When one apparent-temperature side is missing, `feels` uses whichever side
is present (the null-vs-value coalesce must reproduce the old NaN fallback)."""
daily = _om_daily()
daily["apparent_temperature_max"] = [None, None, None] # hot side absent
df = climate._to_frame(daily)
row = df.filter(pl.col("date") == datetime.date(2026, 6, 1)).row(0, named=True)
assert row["feels"] == 58.0 # falls back to apparent low
def test_nasa_to_frame_converts_units_and_fills():
param = {
"T2M_MAX": {"20260601": 30.0, "20260602": -999.0}, # °C; -999 = missing
"T2M_MIN": {"20260601": 20.0, "20260602": 15.0},
"PRECTOTCORR": {"20260601": 25.4, "20260602": 0.0}, # mm
"WS10M_MAX": {"20260601": 10.0, "20260602": 5.0}, # m/s
"RH2M": {"20260601": 50.0, "20260602": 60.0},
}
df = climate._nasa_to_frame(param)
assert len(df) == 1 # the missing-tmax day dropped
row = df.row(0, named=True)
assert row["tmax"] == 86.0 # 30°C
assert row["precip"] == 1.0 # 25.4mm = 1in
assert round(row["wind"], 1) == 22.4 # 10 m/s in mph
assert row["gust"] is None # POWER has no gusts (missing -> null)
assert row["fmax"] > row["tmax"] # ≥80°F: the NWS heat index applies
def _metno_step(time, t, rh, wind, p1=None, p6=None):
"""One MET Norway timeseries step (instant details + optional precip blocks)."""
data = {"instant": {"details": {
"air_temperature": t, "relative_humidity": rh, "wind_speed": wind}}}
if p1 is not None:
data["next_1_hours"] = {"details": {"precipitation_amount": p1}}
if p6 is not None:
data["next_6_hours"] = {"details": {"precipitation_amount": p6}}
return {"time": time, "data": data}
def test_metno_to_frame_aggregates_daily_and_converts_units():
props = {"timeseries": [
# Day 1: two hourly steps. The first also carries a next_6_hours block, which
# must be IGNORED (next_1_hours wins) so precip isn't double-counted.
_metno_step("2026-07-16T00:00:00Z", 20.0, 50.0, 2.0, p1=0.5, p6=3.0),
_metno_step("2026-07-16T01:00:00Z", 25.0, 60.0, 4.0, p1=0.5),
# Day 2: a 6-hourly step (only next_6_hours) + an instant-only tail step.
_metno_step("2026-07-17T00:00:00Z", 10.0, 80.0, 10.0, p6=6.0),
_metno_step("2026-07-17T06:00:00Z", 12.0, 70.0, 8.0),
]}
df = climate._metno_to_frame(props)
assert len(df) == 2
d1 = df.filter(pl.col("date") == datetime.date(2026, 7, 16)).row(0, named=True)
assert d1["tmax"] == 77.0 and d1["tmin"] == 68.0 # 25°C / 20°C -> °F
assert round(d1["precip"], 4) == round(1.0 / 25.4, 4) # 0.5+0.5 mm (not +3.0) -> in
assert round(d1["wind"], 1) == 8.9 # max 4 m/s -> mph
assert d1["gust"] is None # MET Norway has no gusts
assert d1["feels"] is not None
d2 = df.filter(pl.col("date") == datetime.date(2026, 7, 17)).row(0, named=True)
assert round(d2["precip"], 4) == round(6.0 / 25.4, 4) # only the 6-hour block
def test_recent_forecast_falls_back_to_metno(monkeypatch, tmp_path):
"""When Open-Meteo's forecast API fails, the MET Norway backup serves the frame."""
monkeypatch.setattr(climate, "CACHE_DIR", str(tmp_path))
cell = {"id": "fallback_cell", "center_lat": 47.6062, "center_lon": -122.3321}
met = {"timeseries": [
_metno_step("2026-07-16T00:00:00Z", 18.0, 55.0, 3.0, p1=0.0),
_metno_step("2026-07-17T00:00:00Z", 22.0, 45.0, 5.0, p6=1.0),
]}
class Resp:
def json(self): return {"properties": met}
def fake_request(url, params, timeout, *, phase, headers=None, attempts=climate.MAX_ATTEMPTS):
if url == climate.FORECAST_URL:
raise RuntimeError("open-meteo forecast outage")
assert url == climate.METNO_URL
assert headers and headers.get("User-Agent"), "MET Norway needs a User-Agent"
return Resp()
monkeypatch.setattr(climate, "_request", fake_request)
df = climate._load_recent_forecast(cell)
assert len(df) == 2 and df["date"].max() == datetime.date(2026, 7, 17)
def test_recent_forecast_serves_stale_cache_when_all_sources_fail(monkeypatch, tmp_path):
"""With Open-Meteo AND MET Norway both down, an existing (stale) cache is served
rather than failing — and it is NOT rewritten, so its mtime stays old and the
next request still retries upstream first."""
import os
import time
monkeypatch.setattr(climate, "CACHE_DIR", str(tmp_path))
cell = {"id": "stale_cell", "center_lat": 47.6, "center_lon": -122.3}
# Seed an rf cache, then age it well past the TTL so it counts as stale.
stale = climate._to_frame(_om_daily())
path = climate._rf_cache_path(cell["id"])
climate._write_cache(stale, path)
old = time.time() - (climate.FORECAST_TTL_HOURS + 5) * 3600
os.utime(path, (old, old))
def all_down(url, params, timeout, *, phase, headers=None, attempts=climate.MAX_ATTEMPTS):
raise RuntimeError(f"{phase} down")
monkeypatch.setattr(climate, "_request", all_down)
df = climate._load_recent_forecast(cell)
assert df.height == stale.height # served the stale cache
assert abs(os.path.getmtime(path) - old) < 2 # not rewritten (mtime unchanged)
def test_om_daily_params_carries_the_window():
cell = {"center_lat": 47.6, "center_lon": -122.3}
p = climate._om_daily_params(cell, start_date="2026-01-01", end_date="2026-02-01")
assert p["latitude"] == 47.6 and p["daily"] == climate.DAILY_VARS
assert p["temperature_unit"] == "fahrenheit"
assert p["start_date"] == "2026-01-01" and p["end_date"] == "2026-02-01"
p2 = climate._om_daily_params(cell, past_days=25, forecast_days=8)
assert p2["past_days"] == 25 and "start_date" not in p2
def test_write_cache_strips_the_derived_doy(tmp_path):
df = climate._to_frame(_om_daily())
path = str(tmp_path / "cell.parquet")
climate._write_cache(df, path)
stored = pl.read_parquet(path)
assert "doy" not in stored.columns
assert len(stored) == len(df)
def _wb_frame(tmax, humid, tmin=None):
"""Frame with raw RH (`humid`) for the wet-bulb / humidity derivations."""
n = len(tmax)
return pl.DataFrame({
"date": [datetime.date(2026, 7, 1) + datetime.timedelta(days=i) for i in range(n)],
"tmax": [float(x) for x in tmax],
"tmin": [float(t) for t in (tmin or [x - 15 for x in tmax])],
"humid": [float(h) for h in humid],
})
def test_wetbulb_stull_spot_values():
# Stull (2011): 20 °C / 50% -> ~13.7 °C; 30 °C / 80% -> ~27.2 °C. In °F here.
df = climate._derive_wetbulb(_wb_frame([68.0, 86.0], [50.0, 80.0]))
wb = df["wetbulb"].to_list()
assert wb[0] == pytest.approx((13.7 * 9 / 5) + 32, abs=0.6)
assert wb[1] == pytest.approx((27.2 * 9 / 5) + 32, abs=0.6)
def test_wetbulb_never_exceeds_dry_bulb():
df = climate._derive_wetbulb(_wb_frame([40.0, 60.0, 85.0, 100.0], [20.0, 55.0, 70.0, 95.0]))
for tmax, wb in zip(df["tmax"], df["wetbulb"]):
assert wb is not None and wb <= tmax + 0.05
def test_wetbulb_null_outside_validity_range():
# RH 3% (< 5) and a scorching 130 °F (> 50 °C) both fall outside Stull's fit.
df = climate._derive_wetbulb(_wb_frame([70.0, 130.0], [3.0, 40.0]))
assert df["wetbulb"].to_list() == [None, None]
def test_wetbulb_noop_without_humidity():
df = pl.DataFrame({"tmax": [70.0], "tmin": [55.0]})
assert "wetbulb" not in climate._derive_wetbulb(df).columns
def test_derive_metrics_adds_wetbulb_and_absolute_humidity():
out = climate._derive_metrics(_wb_frame([68.0], [50.0]))
assert "wetbulb" in out.columns
# _derive_humidity replaces raw RH (50) with absolute humidity (g/m³, ~8-9).
assert out["humid"][0] < 30 and out["humid"][0] != 50.0
def test_history_fetch_targets_archive_url_with_seamless_model(monkeypatch):
"""Historical fetches hit ARCHIVE_URL (env-overridable for self-hosting) and pin
the ERA5 seamless model, so a self-hosted Open-Meteo serves the same 0.1° blend."""
seen = {}
class Resp:
def json(self): return {"daily": _om_daily(3)}
def fake_request(url, params, timeout, *, phase, headers=None, attempts=climate.MAX_ATTEMPTS):
seen["url"], seen["params"], seen["phase"] = url, dict(params), phase
return Resp()
monkeypatch.setattr(climate, "_request", fake_request)
cell = {"center_lat": 47.6, "center_lon": -122.3}
climate._fetch_history(cell)
assert seen["url"] == climate.ARCHIVE_URL
assert seen["params"]["models"] == "era5_seamless"
assert seen["phase"] == "history_fetch"
climate._fetch_history_range(cell, "2026-06-01", "2026-06-10") # tail top-up
assert seen["url"] == climate.ARCHIVE_URL
assert seen["params"]["models"] == "era5_seamless"
def test_daily_params_carry_no_model_by_default():
# The shared param builder (also used by the forecast path) stays model-free;
# only the archive fetches add models=era5_seamless.
p = climate._om_daily_params({"center_lat": 1.0, "center_lon": 2.0}, past_days=7)
assert "models" not in p
assert climate.ARCHIVE_URL.endswith("/v1/archive") # default (no env override in tests)